Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | No | 31.58 | $0.950 | $31.01 | +$1.01 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 7.52 | $0.751 | $5.65 | Jul 30, 2026 |
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| No |
| 31.19 |
| $0.962 |
| $30.7 |
| +$0.7 |
Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 26.35 | $0.949 | $25.94 | +$0.94 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 26.38 | $0.948 | $25.78 | +$0.78 |
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | No | 25.97 | $0.770 | $21.43 | +$1.43 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 21.44 | $0.933 | $20.89 | +$0.89 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 21.1 | $0.948 | $20.5 | +$0.5 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 17.74 | $0.709 | $16.15 | +$3.57 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 16.89 | $0.800 | $14.95 | +$1.44 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.68 | +$0.68 |
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.31 | +$0.31 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.25 | +$0.25 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | Yes | 5.17 | $0.967 | $4.78 | -$0.22 |
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2.42 | +$0.42 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 4.35 | $0.460 | $0.87 | -$1.13 |
| buy |
| 2.49 |
| $0.983 |
| $2.45 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.918 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 7.52 | $0.920 | $6.92 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.917 | $2.78 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.907 | $2.79 | Jul 5, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.987 | $2.44 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.956 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will 6+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.969 | $3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.972 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.967 | $4.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.928 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.917 | $9.17 | Jul 2, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.894 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will "Supergirl" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will "Dark Winds: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jul 2, 2026 |
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Jul 2, 2026 |