Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.710 | $32.66 | Dec 9, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 60 |
| $0.470 |
| $28.2 |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.690 | $28.29 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.476 | $42.84 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | sell | 350 | $0.060 | $21 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Farmer" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.780 | $16.78 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?No | sell | 17 | $0.999 | $16.98 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?No | buy | 17 | $0.430 | $7.31 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?No | buy | 7 | $0.830 | $5.81 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | buy | 350 | $0.870 | $304.5 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 424 | $0.947 | $401.53 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 424 | $0.718 | $304.48 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes | sell | 305.99 | $0.999 | $305.68 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes | buy | 178.99 | $0.820 | $146.77 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 266.4 | $0.941 | $250.72 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.477 | $70.53 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 118.4 | $0.476 | $56.34 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Inter Miami beat Palmeiras?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.940 | $163.56 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.620 | $8.06 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Khamenei seen in public before July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will PSG beat Seattle Sounders?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.870 | $143.55 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City beat Al Ain?Yes | sell | 143 | $0.999 | $142.86 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City beat Al Ain?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.870 | $124.45 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.999 | $119.88 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.790 | $94.8 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.510 | $29.07 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei seen in public before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.510 | $8.67 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 8.6 | $0.995 | $8.56 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.620 | $25.42 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.774 | $4.92 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 8.61 | $0.581 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 49.31 | $0.811 | $40 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jun 16, 2025 |