Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 2.54K | $0.815 | $2.18K | +$102.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 106 | $0.760 | $80.56 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.59K |
| $0.573 |
| $1.04K |
| +$129.77 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 1.08K | $0.927 | $1.01K | +$8.74 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 999.99 | $0.976 | $982.49 | +$6.5 |
 Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 956.27 | $0.837 | $879.77 | +$79.77 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 710.32 | $0.875 | $673.03 | +$51.47 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 631.64 | $0.792 | $533.74 | +$33.11 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 500 | $0.962 | $486.25 | +$5.25 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.940 | $472.5 | +$2.5 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.870 | $467.5 | +$32.5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 476.19 | $0.630 | $397.62 | +$97.62 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 418.39 | $0.870 | $395.38 | +$31.38 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 400 | $0.800 | $393.4 | +$73.4 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 508.18 | $0.728 | $383.68 | +$13.68 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 410.96 | $0.730 | $320.55 | +$20.55 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 348.84 | $0.860 | $319.01 | +$19.01 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.870 | $290.1 | +$29.1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 330 | $0.700 | $285.45 | +$54.45 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 340.85 | $0.777 | $270.97 | +$6.26 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 267.61 | $0.950 | $257.84 | +$3.61 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 300 | $0.880 | $256.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 280 | $0.823 | $237.86 | +$7.42 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 229.77 | $0.870 | $204.5 | +$4.5 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 106 | $0.760 | $81.09 | +$0.53 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 100.97 | $0.519 | $72.85 | +$20.39 |
| buy |
| 100.97 |
| $0.520 |
| $52.46 |
| 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 229.77 | $0.870 | $200 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 36.9 | $0.830 | $30.63 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 97.22 | $0.720 | $70 | 8d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 340.85 | $0.777 | $264.71 | 9d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.940 | $26.32 | 11d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 93.82 | $0.648 | $60.8 | 20d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.823 | $230.44 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 410.96 | $0.730 | $300 | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.840 | $336 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.796 | $37.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 300 | $0.890 | $267 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 47.61 | $0.779 | $37.09 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 300 | $0.880 | $264 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.962 | $192.4 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.800 | $320 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No | buy | 27.42 | $0.950 | $26.05 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.870 | $435 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.976 | $107.36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections?No | buy | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 394.74 | $0.760 | $300 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 410.96 | $0.730 | $300 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 348.84 | $0.860 | $300 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 476.19 | $0.630 | $300 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 634.53 | $0.946 | $600 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.988 | $1K | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 18?No | buy | 53.61 | $0.933 | $50 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.927 | $1K | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 330 | $0.700 | $231 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 69.17 | $0.939 | $64.95 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.930 | $279 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.010 | $0.47 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 501 | $0.520 | $260.52 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 512.63 | $0.220 | $112.78 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 589.68 | $0.848 | $500 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes | buy | 956.27 | $0.837 | $800 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?No | buy | 520.83 | $0.960 | $500 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 491.8 | $0.610 | $300 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?No | buy | 206.66 | $0.968 | $200 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 73.56 | $0.870 | $64 | Jun 11, 2026 |