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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed abolished before 2027? | No | 8.54 | $0.995 | $8.33 | -$0.17 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 8.54 | $0.995 | $8.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.34 |
| $0.995 |
| $1.33 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.14 | $0.983 | $8.99 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $285?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.972 | $5.5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.53 | $0.967 | $3.41 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.966 | $3.41 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 10?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.975 | $9.03 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 7?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.988 | $8.94 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?No | sell | 8.98 | $0.997 | $8.95 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?No | buy | 8.98 | $0.972 | $8.73 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.88 | $0.983 | $8.73 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.88 | $0.993 | $8.82 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.985 | $8.69 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.991 | $1.58 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.995 | $1.57 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.983 | $1.57 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.950 | $1.52 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.999 | $1.52 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be below $3.00 in September?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.999 | $2.52 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by October 15?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.969 | $2.44 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.966 | $5.37 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Biden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 3.88 | $0.987 | $3.83 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.992 | $1.78 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 South Korean Dem Party leader arrested by Friday?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.993 | $2.05 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 1.27 | $0.987 | $1.25 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.998 | $2.68 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.993 | $3.1 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 2.28 | $0.987 | $2.25 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 0.99 | $0.998 | $0.99 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | buy | 0.49 | $0.998 | $0.49 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 14.2K | $0.001 | $14.2 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15.75K | $0.001 | $15.75 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.996 | $1.68 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.998 | $1.63 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.986 | $2.41 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Farcaster airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.951 | $1.02 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.998 | $1.91 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No | buy | 2.05 | $0.999 | $2.05 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 26.45K | $0.001 | $26.45 | Nov 6, 2024 |