Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump win 7 swing states?Yes | sell | 96.5 | $0.960 | $92.64 | Nov 6, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 45.45 |
| $0.110 |
| $5 |
| Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?Yes | buy | 37.37 | $0.095 | $3.55 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 41.5 | $0.122 | $5.06 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?No | sell | 29 | $0.120 | $3.48 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?No | buy | 29.72 | $0.067 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.060 | $2.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PAYes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 7 swing states?Yes | buy | 96.56 | $0.160 | $15.45 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 3 swing states?Yes | sell | 138 | $0.080 | $11.04 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PAYes | sell | 50 | $0.085 | $4.25 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?Yes | buy | 65.6 | $0.076 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | sell | 26.38 | $0.100 | $2.64 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | sell | 19.4 | $0.110 | $2.13 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Increase in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | sell | 27.7 | $0.014 | $0.39 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 5 swing states?Yes | buy | 62.44 | $0.160 | $9.99 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 3 swing states?Yes | buy | 138.31 | $0.130 | $17.98 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 5 swing states?Yes | buy | 58.94 | $0.160 | $9.43 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PAYes | sell | 65 | $0.100 | $6.5 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 4 swing states?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 112.22 | $0.178 | $20 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.405 | $42.93 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.06 | $0.520 | $0.03 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 31.03 | $0.419 | $13 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PAYes | buy | 78.27 | $0.110 | $8.61 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PAYes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.76 | $0.406 | $5.18 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.327 | $8.18 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.91 | $0.406 | $1.18 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Trump wins 270-268 - GA, NC, PAYes | sell | 51 | $0.023 | $1.17 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 35.22 | $0.406 | $14.3 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PAYes | buy | 318.18 | $0.110 | $35 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PAYes | buy | 29 | $0.110 | $3.19 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 24.57 | $0.407 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30.68 | $0.430 | $13.19 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PAYes | buy | 59.09 | $0.110 | $6.5 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30.68 | $0.440 | $13.5 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PAYes | buy | 58.09 | $0.110 | $6.39 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PAYes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 77.12 | $0.407 | $31.39 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| 26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Increase in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.035 | $0.5 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| >50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 22.62 | $0.042 | $0.95 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.200 | $3.45 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Increase in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 13.43 | $0.035 | $0.47 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 77.12 | $0.389 | $30 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 78.73 | $0.387 | $30.47 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 64.41 | $0.388 | $24.99 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Trump wins 270-268 - GA, NC, PAYes | buy | 51.02 | $0.049 | $2.5 | Nov 1, 2024 |