Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.63K | $0.447 | $870.62 | +$142.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 870.35 | $0.560 | $487.4 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.7K |
| $0.480 |
| $739.5 |
| -$76.5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 900 | $0.550 | $607.5 | +$112.5 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.480 | $561.75 | +$57.75 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 870.35 | $0.560 | $448.23 | -$39.16 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.65K | $0.216 | $334.87 | -$21.03 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 179.65 | $0.300 | $20.66 | -$33.24 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.870 |
| $87.01 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 265.75 | $0.982 | $260.88 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 1.45K | $0.360 | $522.72 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 51.99 | $0.340 | $17.68 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 900 | $0.390 | $351 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.390 | $195 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 172.41 | $0.965 | $166.39 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 473.9 | $0.211 | $100 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 265.75 | $0.564 | $150 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 181.03 | $0.938 | $169.81 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 340.9 | $0.997 | $339.88 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.03 | $0.580 | $105 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 340.91 | $0.440 | $150 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 483.87 | $0.060 | $29.03 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 210 | $0.420 | $88.2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.070 | $8.4 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 300 | $0.190 | $57 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 483.87 | $0.310 | $150 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 421.05 | $0.190 | $80 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 434.48 | $0.290 | $126 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 326.09 | $0.460 | $150 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Yes | sell | 296.24 | $0.935 | $276.9 | Oct 9, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Yes | buy | 296.25 | $0.530 | $157.01 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov released in August?No | sell | 1.47K | $0.100 | $147.41 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released in August?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.678 | $1K | Aug 28, 2024 |