Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 34.54 | $0.200 | $6.91 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 35.79 |
| $0.069 |
| $2.47 |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.037 | $1.85 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Iran strike on Israel on Nov 5?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.031 | $0.62 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14Yes | buy | 35.72 | $0.028 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift attend Kamala's Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Trump wins 270-268 - GA, NC, PAYes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 273-265 - GA, MI, NCYes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high day after election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 20.57 | $0.035 | $0.72 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.071 | $1.42 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14Yes | buy | 50.71 | $0.028 | $1.42 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.071 | $1.42 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win another state by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 90.1 | $0.013 | $1.17 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win California by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.034 | $2.04 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 34.54 | $0.220 | $7.6 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4Yes | buy | 208.43 | $0.012 | $2.5 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?No | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?No | buy | 31.53 | $0.580 | $18.29 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Kamala win 60% of women?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will Kamala win 60% of women?Yes | buy | 12.86 | $0.140 | $1.8 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 20-29 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?Yes | buy | 194.29 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.034 | $1.02 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.021 | $0.42 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.039 | $1.56 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will there be another debate?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.022 | $1.76 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $53-61m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.030 | $1.2 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $61-70m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.019 | $2.28 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross more than $70m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 440 | $0.007 | $3.08 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.121 | $3.03 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.087 | $4.35 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | buy | 7.89 | $0.360 | $2.84 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.018 | $0.36 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | buy | 18.05 | $0.360 | $6.5 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.093 | $9.3 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.038 | $3.8 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.034 | $3.06 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.123 | $11.07 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.120 | $7.2 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 177 | $0.037 | $6.55 | Oct 27, 2024 |