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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 30.26K | $0.701 | $25.88K | +$4.66K |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 11.15 | $0.970 | $10.82 | Mar 13, 2026 |
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| No |
| 10K |
| $0.820 |
| $9.35K |
| +$1.15K |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.678 | $4.64K | +$1.25K |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 5K | $0.540 | $4.18K | +$1.48K |
| buy |
| 17.22K |
| $0.105 |
| $1.8K |
| Mar 11, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.100 | $199.94 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 4.32K | $0.985 | $4.26K | Feb 2, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 19.64K | $0.493 | $9.69K | Jan 15, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.98K | $0.900 | $12.59K | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 in November?No | buy | 421.86 | $0.890 | $375.46 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 164.74 | $0.950 | $156.5 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 18.88 | $0.740 | $13.97 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.840 | $885.87 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 57.76 | $0.760 | $43.9 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.900 | $2.7K | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.900 | $2.7K | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.56K | $0.884 | $4.03K | Oct 5, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 851.06 | $0.834 | $710.15 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | buy | 528.54 | $0.925 | $488.9 | May 12, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?No | buy | 656.89 | $0.910 | $597.77 | Feb 9, 2025 |