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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 551.4 | $0.870 | $521.08 | +$41.36 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 551.4 | $0.870 | $479.72 | Jul 20, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 482.96 |
| $0.890 |
| $429.83 |
| Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 420 | $0.960 | $403.2 | May 14, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by April 30?No | buy | 415.63 | $0.930 | $386.54 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 387.52 | $0.985 | $381.71 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.968 | $48.4 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?No | sell | 16.77 | $0.920 | $15.43 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.68 | $0.952 | $16.83 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?No | sell | 22 | $0.960 | $21.12 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.970 | $21.34 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?No | sell | 23.66 | $0.980 | $23.19 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will the Boston Red Sox win the AL East Division?No | sell | 44 | $0.846 | $37.22 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the AL East Division?No | sell | 11.1 | $0.919 | $10.2 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo visit another country first?No | sell | 34.88 | $0.856 | $29.86 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?No | sell | 34 | $0.950 | $32.3 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?No | sell | 42.76 | $0.785 | $33.55 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?Yes | sell | 44.02 | $0.885 | $38.94 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?No | sell | 44 | $0.906 | $39.86 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | sell | 44 | $0.920 | $40.48 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 American League Championship?No | sell | 44 | $0.943 | $41.48 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | sell | 44 | $0.945 | $41.59 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 44.97 | $0.939 | $42.24 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?Yes | sell | 44.53 | $0.954 | $42.47 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No | sell | 44.01 | $0.970 | $42.67 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?No | sell | 44 | $0.973 | $42.81 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?No | sell | 5 | $0.962 | $4.81 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?No | sell | 5 | $0.963 | $4.81 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?No | sell | 5 | $0.971 | $4.85 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.954 | $9.54 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?No | sell | 37.49 | $0.959 | $35.95 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Thomas Massie join the America Party?No | sell | 10 | $0.948 | $9.48 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 American League Championship?No | sell | 11.99 | $0.955 | $11.45 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 American League Championship?No | sell | 32 | $0.956 | $30.59 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | sell | 44.42 | $0.887 | $39.4 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Kenny Pickett start Week 1 for the Browns?No | sell | 10.54 | $0.769 | $8.11 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Kenny Pickett start Week 1 for the Browns?No | sell | 10 | $0.798 | $7.98 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 10.74 | $0.883 | $9.48 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 30.83 | $0.958 | $29.54 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 10.99 | $0.952 | $10.46 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.785 | $23.55 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.949 | $9.49 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?No | sell | 21.99 | $0.925 | $20.34 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 43.99 | $0.930 | $40.91 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 26 | $0.982 | $25.53 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.968 | $9.68 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?No | sell | 12.51 | $0.793 | $9.92 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?No | sell | 43.99 | $0.950 | $41.79 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Grok be the next CEO of X?No | sell | 44.07 | $0.948 | $41.78 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 44.29 | $0.635 | $28.12 | Jul 15, 2025 |