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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 21.51 | $0.930 | $19.88 | -$0.12 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.470 | $6.52 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 294.12 |
| $0.170 |
| $16.18 |
| -$33.82 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 96.15 | $0.260 | $7.21 | -$17.79 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 322.9 | $0.108 | $5.49 | -$29.51 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 58.96 | $0.424 | $4.22 | -$20.78 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 181.82 | $0.110 | $3 | -$17 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 72.46 | $0.069 | $2.86 | -$2.14 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.130 | $2.69 | -$17.31 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.050 | $2.2 | -$17.8 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.630 | $1.55 | -$13.45 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.290 | $1.53 | -$8.47 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 14.49 | $0.690 | $1.3 | -$8.7 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $0.92 | -$9.08 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.035 | $0.21 | -$4.79 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 17.13 | $0.584 | $0.08 | -$9.92 |
| buy |
| 9.64 |
| $0.830 |
| $8 |
| 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | 6d ago |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | sell | 44.11 | $0.380 | $16.76 | 6d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 49.01 | $0.550 | $26.96 | 6d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 36.36 | $0.860 | $31.27 | 11d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 35.62 | $0.989 | $35.23 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 31.61 | $0.993 | $31.39 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 35.63 | $0.842 | $30 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.27K | $0.017 | $38.59 | May 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.300 | $8.33 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 272.73 | $0.180 | $49.09 | May 22, 2026 |
 Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks | sell | 66.66 | $0.999 | $66.59 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 380.12 | $0.013 | $4.94 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.013 | $19.72 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 372.58 | $0.013 | $4.84 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Knicks | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks | buy | 66.67 | $0.450 | $30 | May 20, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 25.86 | $0.740 | $19.14 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 7.57 | $0.890 | $6.74 | May 14, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 21.84 | $0.620 | $13.54 | May 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.910 | $28.44 | May 14, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.981 | $27.24 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 181.31 | $0.380 | $68.9 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 336.11 | $0.210 | $70.58 | May 7, 2026 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks76ers | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| 76ers vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 21.85 | $0.458 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
 Utah vs. Golden KnightsUtah | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Rockets vs. LakersLakers | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers76ers | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |