Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 203.05 |
| $0.197 |
| $40 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 141.51 | $0.106 | $15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.052 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 126.58 | $0.079 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.006 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 457 | $0.600 | $274.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 457.41 | $0.262 | $120 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.090 | $50 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.33K | $0.035 | $46.67 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 994.57 | $0.030 | $30 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.060 | $80 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 190 | $0.300 | $57 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.019 | $27 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.025 | $30 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "iPhone" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 910.93 | $0.022 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 332.8 | $0.060 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 588.85 | $0.036 | $21 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.019 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.019 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 598.88 | $0.033 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.54K | $0.022 | $100 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.096 | $0.96 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 171.05 | $0.380 | $65 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.73K | $0.211 | $364.13 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 171.05 | $0.380 | $65 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.058 | $0.58 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.049 | $85 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 487.8 | $0.041 | $20 | Jul 21, 2025 |