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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 111.99 | $0.024 | $2.66 | Jul 24, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.13K |
| $0.020 |
| $22.63 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 318.18 | $0.440 | $140 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.620 | $0.69 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?No | buy | 88.89 | $0.180 | $16 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 511.86 | $0.033 | $16.87 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?No | buy | 642.33 | $0.150 | $96.35 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 300.75 | $0.198 | $59.55 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 176.46 | $0.360 | $63.53 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 275.99 | $0.368 | $101.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 135.14 | $0.382 | $51.65 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 367.06 | $0.530 | $194.54 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 211.11 | $0.180 | $38 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp | buy | 41.29 | $0.121 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETDown | sell | 29.41 | $0.520 | $15.29 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETDown | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 76.91 | $0.780 | $59.99 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 230.72 | $0.785 | $181.14 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 307.64 | $0.829 | $255.11 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETDown | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETDown | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp | sell | 0.31 | $0.230 | $0.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp | sell | 26 | $0.200 | $5.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 220.54 | $0.322 | $71 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 169.88 | $0.078 | $13.29 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 169.89 | $0.059 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 451.21 | $0.930 | $419.73 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 82.15 | $0.259 | $21.26 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes | buy | 22.89 | $0.560 | $12.82 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes | buy | 51.75 | $0.193 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes | sell | 33.89 | $0.066 | $2.24 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes | sell | 35.56 | $0.093 | $3.32 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes | sell | 425.34 | $0.032 | $13.61 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.033 | $0.66 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes | sell | 970.61 | $0.016 | $15.75 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 130.88 | $0.400 | $52.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 101.23 | $0.395 | $40 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 163.66 | $0.031 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | sell | 0.9 | $0.370 | $0.33 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | sell | 90 | $0.357 | $32.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |