Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.77 | $0.330 | $3.55 | -$10.23 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 | buy | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
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imfollowyourluck is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,947,712 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$690.6 observed lifetime PnL, 26 distinct markets, 16 resolved positions, a 43.8% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xf0cfed71b36c1212f196f292366f0257daf64b66
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.310 |
| $31 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.037 | $38.85 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 26.71 | $0.610 | $16.29 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 546 | $0.410 | $223.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 202.83 | $0.240 | $48.68 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 110.35 | $0.030 | $3.31 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.200 | $250 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 234 | $0.450 | $105.3 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.780 | $148.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 105 | $0.830 | $87.15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 113.67 | $0.735 | $83.58 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 200 | $0.620 | $124 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 339.99 | $0.390 | $132.6 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.770 | $46.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 399.99 | $0.690 | $275.99 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 | sell | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 | buy | 35 | $0.420 | $14.7 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 | buy | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.770 | $192.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.740 | $22.2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.320 | $64 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.800 | $56 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 780 | $0.460 | $358.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 656.5 | $0.470 | $308.56 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 26.71 | $0.550 | $14.69 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.260 | $65 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.480 | $5.76 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.079 | $7.89 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.260 | $78 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.040 | $16 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.480 | $240 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.770 | $231 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.660 | $99 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.874 | $62.93 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes | sell | 6.07 | $0.946 | $5.74 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.646 | $100.13 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 850 | $0.420 | $357 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.760 | $380 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.