Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 64.05 | $0.860 | $52.84 | -$2.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 64.05 | $0.860 | $55.08 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 111.58 |
| $0.018 |
| $0.17 |
| -$1.83 |
| sell |
| 34.59 |
| $0.059 |
| $2.04 |
| 3d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 72.46 | $0.730 | $52.9 | 3d ago |
| Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 111.58 | $0.018 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 62.16 | $0.740 | $46 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 62.95 | $0.660 | $41.55 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 59.88 | $0.633 | $37.92 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?Yes | sell | 48.78 | $0.360 | $17.56 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 45.16 | $0.640 | $28.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.010 | $1.7 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.16 | $0.830 | $21.71 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.17 | $0.650 | $17.01 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.065 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 45.16 | $0.620 | $28 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 58.66 | $0.290 | $17.01 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 517.24 | $0.290 | $150 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 257.93 | $0.051 | $13.15 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 137.47 | $0.115 | $15.81 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 128.2 | $0.293 | $37.56 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 244.31 | $0.411 | $100.48 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.054 | $7.5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.125 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.480 | $30 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 37.02 | $0.500 | $18.51 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 18.04 | $0.510 | $9.2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETDown | buy | 9.02 | $0.510 | $4.6 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | sell | 8.64 | $0.950 | $8.21 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 8.64 | $0.500 | $4.32 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.24 | $0.510 | $2.16 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 17.14 | $0.490 | $8.4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 8.57 | $0.490 | $4.2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.75 | $0.510 | $2.42 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | sell | 11 | $0.710 | $7.81 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 12.61 | $0.510 | $6.43 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?Yes | sell | 6.44 | $0.999 | $6.43 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?Yes | buy | 6.44 | $0.810 | $5.22 | Dec 3, 2025 |