Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 4.39 | $0.961 | $4.22 | Feb 15, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.79 |
| $0.955 |
| $3.62 |
| Jan 24, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.970 | $4.14 | Jan 13, 2026 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Dec 30, 2025 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.6 | $0.510 | $1.33 | Dec 18, 2025 |
US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31?No | buy | 2.88 | $0.996 | $2.87 | Dec 15, 2025 |
North Korea missile launch by November 30?No | buy | 3 | $0.910 | $2.73 | Nov 27, 2025 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.890 | $2.32 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.997 | $1.46 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.996 | $1.51 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.997 | $2.06 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer by October 10?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.999 | $2.2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.999 | $2.69 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.999 | $2.89 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Turkey by September 30?No | buy | 4.89 | $0.996 | $4.87 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes | buy | 3.71 | $0.997 | $3.7 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | sell | 11.2 | $0.997 | $11.17 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | buy | 11.2 | $0.997 | $11.17 | Sep 4, 2025 |
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution by August 31?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.999 | $3.53 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?No | buy | 11.77 | $0.997 | $11.73 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Yes | buy | 19.73 | $0.999 | $19.71 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.997 | $3.48 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times August 15–August 22?No | buy | 16.54 | $0.998 | $16.51 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 383.94 | $0.995 | $382.02 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 383.95 | $0.996 | $382.41 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 356.18 | $0.991 | $352.97 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 356.19 | $0.991 | $352.98 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.999 | $1.99 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?Yes | buy | 19.98 | $0.870 | $17.38 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 16.04 | $0.999 | $16.02 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | buy | 14.43 | $0.999 | $14.42 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 19.09 | $0.999 | $19.07 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 18.7 | $0.997 | $18.64 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 18.71 | $0.999 | $18.69 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$10B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.998 | $4.34 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.994 | $3.04 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$10B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.992 | $10.11 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.984 | $4.41 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?Yes | buy | 11.52 | $0.999 | $11.51 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.991 | $2.21 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 7.23 | $0.990 | $7.16 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.999 | $12.76 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.992 | $7.18 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 3.45 | $0.993 | $3.43 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.982 | $1.05 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?No | buy | 3.36 | $0.996 | $3.35 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.991 | $3.42 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.995 | $1.01 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?Yes | buy | 7.82 | $0.985 | $7.7 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 9.22 | $0.990 | $9.13 | Jun 13, 2025 |