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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 112.36 | $0.890 | $98.88 | -$1.12 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 24.62 | $0.853 | $21 | Jun 8, 2026 |
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| No |
| 24.62 |
| $0.853 |
| $24.61 |
| +$3.61 |
| buy |
| 112.36 |
| $0.890 |
| $100 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 49.88 | $0.880 | $43.89 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 15.28 | $0.720 | $11 | May 29, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | May 29, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 23.83 | $0.982 | $23.39 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 44.76 | $0.983 | $44 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 44.76 | $0.938 | $42 | May 22, 2026 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 49.88 | $0.802 | $40 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | sell | 25.72 | $0.994 | $25.57 | May 22, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 57.23 | $0.989 | $56.6 | May 22, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 57.23 | $0.961 | $55 | May 17, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 23.83 | $0.965 | $23 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 31.82 | $0.660 | $21 | May 17, 2026 |
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No | buy | 28.15 | $0.998 | $28.09 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.999 | $15.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | buy | 25.73 | $0.995 | $25.6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No | sell | 11.24 | $0.998 | $11.22 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.998 | $11.22 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 21.24 | $0.998 | $21.2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will "Octane" by Don Toliver be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 28?No | buy | 17.64 | $0.998 | $17.6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?No | buy | 20.56 | $0.997 | $20.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Kendrick Lamar have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | buy | 21.55 | $0.999 | $21.53 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?No | buy | 21.52 | $0.999 | $21.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.995 | $12.07 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | sell | 12.23 | $0.830 | $10.15 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.997 | $12.2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.941 | $15.68 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.993 | $16.55 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.007 | $10.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.007 | $10.5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.97K | $0.006 | $17.83 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 53.01 | $0.998 | $52.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.97K | $0.007 | $20.8 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $210 in January?No | sell | 45.2 | $0.988 | $44.66 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $210 in January?No | buy | 45.21 | $0.991 | $44.8 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 56.19 | $0.999 | $56.13 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 75.5 | $0.996 | $75.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.25K | $0.005 | $16.25 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.25K | $0.006 | $19.5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 38.32 | $0.995 | $38.13 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 38.33 | $0.994 | $38.1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | buy | 55.86 | $0.999 | $55.8 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 49.39 | $0.991 | $48.95 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 46.55 | $0.999 | $46.5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 49.39 | $0.990 | $48.9 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 45.43 | $0.994 | $45.16 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 45.44 | $0.993 | $45.12 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 40.72 | $0.998 | $40.64 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 56.36 | $0.999 | $56.3 | Dec 3, 2025 |