Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.18 | $0.890 | $5.78 | +$0.28 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.82 | $0.959 | $2.7 | 9d ago |
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| No |
| 4.73 |
| $0.880 |
| $4.57 |
| +$0.41 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5.02 | $0.937 | $4.21 | -$0.49 |
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 2.78 | $0.969 | $2.73 | +$0.04 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.28 | $0.940 | $2.14 | -$0 |
Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | 1.56 | $0.870 | $1.48 | +$0.12 |
| sell |
| 6.85 |
| $0.240 |
| $1.64 |
| May 30, 2026 |
Weed rescheduled by June 30?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.967 | $4.8 | May 14, 2026 |
Stripe IPO before 2027?No | sell | 1.89 | $0.910 | $1.72 | May 14, 2026 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.920 | $2.6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.937 | $4.7 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 9.06 | $0.974 | $8.82 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.973 | $2.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.940 | $2.14 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.869 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.18 | $0.890 | $5.5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.964 | $4.19 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.870 | $4 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.965 | $2.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 1?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 2.76 | $0.944 | $2.61 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 29?Yes | buy | 4.22 | $0.981 | $4.14 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.975 | $2.73 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.972 | $1.88 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.986 | $5.6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.965 | $4 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.969 | $2.69 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?Yes | buy | 2.65K | $0.999 | $2.64K | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?Yes | buy | 3.38K | $0.999 | $3.37K | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?Yes | buy | 2.87K | $0.998 | $2.87K | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?Yes | buy | 165.07 | $0.996 | $164.41 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.996 | $1.45K | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 24?No | buy | 3.37K | $0.998 | $3.36K | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 23?No | sell | 195 | $0.999 | $194.81 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 23?No | buy | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | sell | 0.39 | $0.967 | $0.38 | Mar 22, 2026 |
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 22?Yes | buy | 3.37K | $0.997 | $3.36K | Mar 21, 2026 |
US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 0.73 | $0.974 | $0.71 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 4.5 | $0.924 | $4.16 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.43 | $0.880 | $7.42 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.55 | $0.982 | $2.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Stripe IPO before 2027?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 5.63 | $0.920 | $5.18 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.957 | $1.04 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6.9 | $0.958 | $6.61 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.94 | $0.978 | $4.83 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.73 | $0.880 | $4.16 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | sell | 3.59 | $0.830 | $2.98 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.684 | $3.38 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 3?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.951 | $3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.960 | $5.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |