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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.014 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1.43K |
| $0.014 |
| $20 |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.011 | $13.74 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | buy | 750.15 | $0.011 | $8 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.153 | $76.73 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | buy | 198.4 | $0.044 | $8.79 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | buy | 364.75 | $0.033 | $12.04 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.033 | $19.65 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | buy | 255.95 | $0.078 | $20 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.244 | $4 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 395.67 | $0.253 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 81.71 | $0.245 | $20 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 287.49 | $0.070 | $20 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?No | sell | 334.91 | $0.433 | $145.07 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?No | buy | 334.92 | $0.615 | $206.14 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.282 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 70.9 | $0.228 | $16.15 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 538.02 | $0.037 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 89.79 | $0.223 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 91.13 | $0.219 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 19.87 | $0.151 | $3 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 125.15 | $0.160 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 67.11 | $0.149 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 86.93 | $0.161 | $14 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 140.64 | $0.152 | $21.41 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 275.86 | $0.145 | $40 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 274.1 | $0.146 | $40 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 137.91 | $0.145 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.142 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.142 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.142 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 693.71 | $0.144 | $100 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 336.83 | $0.148 | $50 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 557.02 | $0.161 | $89.65 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 866.56 | $0.115 | $100 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 134.85 | $0.148 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 178.85 | $0.112 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |