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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 0.11 | $0.760 | $0.11 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 499.97 | $0.682 | $340.98 | Jun 5, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 800 |
| $0.120 |
| $96 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 3K | $0.850 | $2.55K | Jun 5, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 4.7K | $0.450 | $2.11K | Apr 2, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.998 | $2.5K | Feb 20, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 507.06 | $0.660 | $334.66 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 72.63 | $0.950 | $69 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.860 | $430 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 6K | $0.810 | $4.86K | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 184.09 | $0.849 | $156.25 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 500 | $0.480 | $240 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.200 | $239.99 | Dec 19, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 620.27 | $0.760 | $471.41 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | sell | 3K | $0.180 | $540.13 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.709 | $3.54K | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.620 | $930 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.609 | $914.04 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 900 | $0.910 | $819 | Dec 10, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 145.52 | $0.730 | $106.23 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.880 | $1.76K | Dec 4, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.840 | $840 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.705 | $2.82K | Nov 26, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 519.37 | $0.470 | $244.1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.660 | $49.5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.965 | $2.41K | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 837.04 | $0.960 | $803.56 | Nov 15, 2025 |
South Carolina vs. Texas A&MTexas A&M | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.940 | $1.19K | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?Yes | sell | 253.85 | $0.350 | $88.85 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.965 | $2.9K | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 486.05 | $0.943 | $458.35 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | sell | 2.4K | $0.910 | $2.18K | Oct 29, 2025 |
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.821 | $2.05K | Oct 28, 2025 |
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.820 | $984 | Oct 27, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 365.46 | $0.500 | $182.73 | Oct 27, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.210 | $168 | Oct 24, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.590 | $472 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.961 | $1.92K | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.935 | $374 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 4K | $0.944 | $3.78K | Oct 9, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | sell | 4.5K | $0.900 | $4.05K | Oct 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No | sell | 499.98 | $0.030 | $15 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | buy | 558.66 | $0.790 | $441.34 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | buy | 426.28 | $0.770 | $328.24 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | buy | 948.98 | $0.590 | $559.9 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.460 | $230 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 400 | $0.820 | $328 | Oct 7, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 290 | $0.670 | $194.3 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.974 | $1.46K | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.875 | $4.38K | Oct 6, 2025 |