Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 27.78 |
| $0.720 |
| $20 |
| Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.190 | $5.76 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.110 | $8.46 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.910 | $11.09 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?No | sell | 3.96 | $0.880 | $3.48 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | sell | 22.04 | $0.810 | $17.85 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 34.53 | $0.850 | $29.35 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will Panagiotis Pikrammenos be next Greek President?No | sell | 7.51 | $0.998 | $7.49 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?No | buy | 17.4 | $0.890 | $15.49 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.352 | $10.56 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Panagiotis Pikrammenos be next Greek President?No | sell | 2.49 | $0.998 | $2.49 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?No | buy | 21.88 | $0.914 | $20 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.940 | $7.83 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?No | sell | 15 | $0.981 | $14.71 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Kostas Karamanlis be next Greek President?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.97 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?No | buy | 23.68 | $0.914 | $21.64 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Feb 2, 2025 |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government?No | buy | 21.32 | $0.938 | $20 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will the Left be part of the next German government?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will the AFD be part of the next German government?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 20.99 | $0.953 | $20 | Feb 2, 2025 |
| Will the Left be part of the next German government?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will BSW be part of the next German government?No | buy | 10.74 | $0.931 | $10 | Feb 2, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 49.1 | $0.204 | $10 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.901 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico in his first week?No | sell | 10 | $0.953 | $9.53 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.911 | $1.52 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on China in his first week?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 466.66 | $0.015 | $7 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.961 | $12.01 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.043 | $2.13 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 8.55 | $0.690 | $5.9 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jan 20, 2025 |