Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Jay Clayton for Treasury Secretary?Yes | sell | 1.46K | $0.003 | $4.38 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 102.52 |
| $0.226 |
| $23.17 |
| Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.228 | $11.4 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.249 | $51.15 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?Yes | sell | 325.67 | $0.249 | $81.09 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.190 | $237.31 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?Yes | sell | 236.16 | $0.014 | $3.31 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | sell | 776.93 | $0.100 | $77.69 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | sell | 36.45 | $0.430 | $15.67 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.140 | $174.86 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.150 | $157.56 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Jay Clayton for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 9.08K | $0.012 | $109.28 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes | sell | 1.66K | $0.994 | $1.65K | Nov 7, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 675.71 | $0.310 | $209.47 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.025 | $250 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will either candidate concede in November?Yes | sell | 459.27 | $0.999 | $458.81 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will either candidate concede in November?Yes | buy | 204.75 | $0.620 | $126.95 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 5.56K | $0.140 | $777.7 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 570 | $0.174 | $99.18 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 14.77K | $0.194 | $2.87K | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.350 | $350 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 510 | $0.193 | $98.43 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.003 | $300 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.29K | $0.160 | $686.68 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.150 | $56.25 | Oct 10, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64Yes | buy | 3.21K | $0.090 | $288.99 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Yes | buy | 11.11K | $0.090 | $999.99 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 2.05K | $0.560 | $1.15K | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 2.4K | $0.430 | $1.03K | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 29.34 | $0.500 | $14.67 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.060 | $300 | Sep 23, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.04K | $0.126 | $1.39K | Sep 18, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 6.75K | $0.100 | $674.52 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 9.97K | $0.090 | $896.97 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Another Biden beach day in September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Another Biden beach day in September?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.309 | $588.1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" at debate?Yes | buy | 228.91 | $0.390 | $89.27 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Haitian" at debate?Yes | buy | 435.42 | $0.350 | $152.4 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Haitian" at debate?Yes | buy | 393.7 | $0.270 | $106.3 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.039 | $46.43 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during CNN interview?No | buy | 10K | $0.029 | $290 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during CNN interview?No | buy | 3.72K | $0.028 | $103.72 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.044 | $220 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 880 | $0.750 | $660 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.504 | $623.09 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "J.D." or "Vance" during CNN interview?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 5.2K | $0.045 | $234 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1-1.4 September 6?Yes | buy | 344.73 | $0.190 | $65.5 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 September 6?Yes | buy | 542.33 | $0.274 | $148.43 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" during CNN interview?Yes | sell | 131.6 | $0.550 | $72.38 | Aug 28, 2024 |