Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 7.09K | $0.500 | $6.08K | +$2.53K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 168.54 | $0.890 | $150 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.32K |
| $0.870 |
| $1.27K |
| +$121.6 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.09K | $0.500 | $1.01K | -$2.53K |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 467 | $0.800 | $413.3 | +$39.7 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 316.41 | $0.920 | $304.54 | +$13.45 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 220.59 | $0.680 | $217.5 | +$67.5 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 227.28 | $0.660 | $162.51 | +$12.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 168.54 | $0.890 | $155.9 | +$5.9 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 705.98 | $0.354 | $95.31 | -$154.69 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 406.08 | $0.492 | $46.7 | -$153.3 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | Yes | 294.14 | $0.170 | $16.18 | -$33.83 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 17.58 | $0.830 | $15.21 | +$0.62 |
| buy |
| 467 |
| $0.800 |
| $373.6 |
| 8d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.21K | $0.024 | $29.3 | 16d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 78.13 | $0.110 | $8.59 | 27d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.59K | $0.050 | $79.56 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.009 | $1.16 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 304.38 | $0.310 | $94.36 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.84K | $0.885 | $1.62K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 455.93 | $0.110 | $50.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 455.92 | $0.110 | $50.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 119.04 | $0.040 | $4.76 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.008 | $10.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 197.02 | $0.550 | $108.36 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 9.24 | $0.549 | $5.07 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.500 | $250 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.440 | $11.44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 51.99 | $0.698 | $36.29 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 75.51 | $0.662 | $50 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.719 | $14.38 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 19.89 | $0.750 | $14.92 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 33.1 | $0.769 | $25.45 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.870 | $6.96 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 114.83 | $0.871 | $100 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?No | buy | 106.36 | $0.470 | $50 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?No | sell | 129.08 | $0.100 | $12.91 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?No | sell | 129.08 | $0.100 | $12.91 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?No | buy | 99.67 | $0.502 | $50 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | buy | 441.18 | $0.340 | $150 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes | sell | 150.4 | $0.999 | $150.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes | buy | 18.49 | $0.680 | $12.57 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | sell | 714.28 | $0.023 | $16.38 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 2.43K | $0.018 | $43.71 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 670 | $0.865 | $579.35 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.080 | $82.61 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | sell | 887.4 | $0.994 | $882.08 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | sell | 666.61 | $0.090 | $59.99 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 425.53 | $0.940 | $400 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 96.16 | $0.060 | $5.77 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 926.18 | $0.015 | $13.89 | May 31, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 220.59 | $0.680 | $150 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 926.17 | $0.021 | $19.45 | May 31, 2026 |