Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 13, 2026? | Yes | 11.75 | $0.255 | $4.26 | +$1.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 143.64 | $0.014 | $2 | 7d ago |
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| Yes |
| 347 |
| $0.017 |
| $3.64 |
| -$2.36 |
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 12, 2026? | Yes | 5.93 | $0.337 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 143.64 | $0.014 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 201.98 | $0.020 | $1.92 | -$2.08 |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 283.33 | $0.007 | $0.85 | -$1.15 |
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 76.78 | $0.013 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 125 | $0.008 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 118.44 |
| $0.008 |
| $1 |
| 7d ago |
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.93 | $0.337 | $2 | 7d ago |
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.75 | $0.255 | $3 | 7d ago |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 64.37 | $0.016 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 25.61 | $0.350 | $8.96 | 7d ago |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 14.5 | $0.180 | $2.61 | 10d ago |
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.35 | $0.267 | $0.89 | 10d ago |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | 10d ago |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | 10d ago |
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.128 | $0.94 | 10d ago |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | 10d ago |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.040 | $0.04 | 10d ago |
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 10d ago |
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | 10d ago |
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | 10d ago |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 70.26 | $0.014 | $1 | 10d ago |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?Yes | sell | 18.82 | $0.180 | $3.39 | 10d ago |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 10d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown | sell | 1.42 | $0.980 | $1.39 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp | sell | 1.85 | $0.330 | $0.61 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp | sell | 6 | $0.150 | $0.9 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown | sell | 6 | $0.750 | $4.5 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | sell | 6 | $0.040 | $0.24 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | sell | 6 | $0.990 | $5.94 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | sell | 6 | $0.930 | $5.58 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | sell | 6 | $0.010 | $0.06 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown | sell | 6 | $0.140 | $0.84 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp | sell | 6 | $0.530 | $3.18 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | sell | 6 | $0.780 | $4.68 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp | sell | 6 | $0.620 | $3.72 | 15d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown | sell | 12 | $0.690 | $8.28 | 15d ago |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 149.2 | $0.020 | $3 | 15d ago |
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.136 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 76.78 | $0.013 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.36 | $0.298 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 63.17 | $0.016 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 445.92 | $0.002 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 463.37 | $0.002 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.890 | $11 | 15d ago |