Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 100.7 | $0.993 | $99.9 | -$0.1 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.7 | $0.993 | $100 | 8d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 1.02 |
| $0.978 |
| $1 |
| 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 102.35 | $0.977 | $100 | 22d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No | buy | 211.48 | $0.993 | $210 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No | buy | 224.24 | $0.990 | $222 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No | buy | 102.85 | $0.982 | $101 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 | buy | 174.05 | $0.971 | $169 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 158.81 | $0.976 | $155 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 142.71 | $0.988 | $141 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 132.79 | $0.979 | $130 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 22-28?No | buy | 142.42 | $0.983 | $140 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 252.02 | $0.992 | $250 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 170.76 | $0.978 | $167 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 153.06 | $0.980 | $150 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 264.23 | $0.984 | $260 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 144.29 | $0.998 | $144 | May 11, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 403.63 | $0.991 | $400 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 202.02 | $0.990 | $200 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 214.07 | $0.981 | $210 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No | buy | 241.45 | $0.994 | $240 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BVitality | buy | 172.04 | $0.930 | $160 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group BGen.G | buy | 82.4 | $0.971 | $80 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 217.02 | $0.968 | $210 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 151.26 | $0.952 | $144 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 180.63 | $0.958 | $173 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 2 above $385?Yes | buy | 144.87 | $0.994 | $144 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on February 6, 2026?No | buy | 40.4 | $0.990 | $40 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?No | buy | 352.41 | $0.996 | $351 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 5-11?No | buy | 271.36 | $0.995 | $270 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?No | buy | 85.6 | $0.993 | $85 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 263.32 | $0.995 | $262 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 84.21 | $0.950 | $80 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No | buy | 342.32 | $0.996 | $341 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $300?No | buy | 258.78 | $0.997 | $258 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 11?No | buy | 70.28 | $0.996 | $70 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 326.59 | $0.989 | $323 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 169.48 | $0.976 | $165.48 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 22?Yes | buy | 178.18 | $0.999 | $178 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 169.49 | $0.974 | $165 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?Down | buy | 248.11 | $0.983 | $244 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No | buy | 220.66 | $0.997 | $220 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 September 1–7?No | buy | 73.15 | $0.998 | $73 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 600 or more times September 5–12?No | buy | 150.91 | $0.994 | $150 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $2m?No | buy | 171.64 | $0.990 | $170 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Pump.fun buybacks $40M worth of $PUMP before September?Yes | buy | 50.26 | $0.995 | $50 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?No | buy | 213.89 | $0.982 | $210 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on July 14?Yes | buy | 210.66 | $0.997 | $210 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be less than $120 on June 27?No | buy | 212.21 | $0.999 | $212 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 123.85 | $0.977 | $121 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 69°F or below on June 11?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Jun 11, 2025 |