Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 108.08K | $0.548 | $37.29K | -$21.97K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.002 | $12 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 6K |
| $0.002 |
| $9 |
| -$3 |
| buy |
| 39K |
| $0.400 |
| $15.6K |
| 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.5K | $0.680 | $6.46K | 15d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.08K | $0.710 | $10K | 22d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 18.71K | $0.962 | $18K | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 18.95K | $0.950 | $18K | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 7.95K | $0.881 | $7K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 9.01K | $0.888 | $8K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 25.82K | $0.968 | $25K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 30.29K | $0.430 | $13.04K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 9.06K | $0.773 | $7K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 12.84K | $0.935 | $12K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 8.39K | $0.834 | $7K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 7.78K | $0.900 | $7K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | buy | 10.72K | $0.933 | $10K | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | sell | 8.57K | $0.821 | $7.03K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 8.57K | $0.934 | $8K | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.23K | $0.780 | $15K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 19.12K | $0.837 | $16K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 684.84 | $0.800 | $547.87 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 177 | $0.790 | $139.83 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 17.73K | $0.989 | $17.53K | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 67.72K | $0.989 | $66.95K | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25K | $0.024 | $595.47 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.041 | $1.02K | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.46K | $0.970 | $15K | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.967 | $1.06K | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 196.34 | $0.966 | $189.63 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 703.43 | $0.945 | $664.74 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 53.14K | $0.988 | $52.53K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 15.98K | $0.985 | $15.75K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 16.35K | $0.950 | $15.53K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 16.35K | $0.780 | $12.75K | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 12.74K | $0.822 | $10.48K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 69.12K | $0.984 | $68K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.920 | $13.8K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 17.23K | $0.801 | $13.8K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 17.23K | $0.697 | $12K | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 26.62K | $0.939 | $25K | May 29, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.71K | $0.966 | $20K | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 27.24K | $0.918 | $25K | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 11.73K | $0.852 | $10K | May 24, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 15.14K | $0.925 | $14K | May 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 30.13K | $0.929 | $28K | May 16, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 31.47K | $0.970 | $30.53K | May 13, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 30.65K | $0.962 | $29.47K | May 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 43.11K | $0.960 | $41.38K | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 10.76K | $0.930 | $10K | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 5.71K | $0.875 | $5K | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 39.92K | $0.890 | $35.52K | Apr 9, 2026 |