Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 217 | $0.820 | $177.94 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 182 |
| $0.820 |
| $149.24 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 238 | $0.810 | $192.78 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 318 | $0.810 | $257.58 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.910 | $138.32 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.080 | $5.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.300 | $7.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.300 | $48.9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | sell | 143 | $0.032 | $4.58 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.031 | $2.85 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.940 | $42.3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.11 | $0.940 | $42.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 209 | $0.913 | $190.82 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 348 | $0.740 | $257.52 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.720 | $59.76 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 275 | $0.920 | $253 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.070 | $4.48 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.932 | $2.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 96 | $0.939 | $90.14 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.061 | $4.64 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.061 | $9.64 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 154 | $0.630 | $97.02 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.650 | $100.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 71 | $0.930 | $66.03 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 204 | $0.929 | $189.52 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 108.25 | $0.927 | $100.35 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.015 | $1.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.016 | $2.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.540 | $30.78 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.540 | $40.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.033 | $1.82 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.029 | $4.15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.015 | $2.1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.015 | $2.1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.030 | $2.04 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.036 | $2.45 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 90 | $0.953 | $85.77 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 172 | $0.955 | $164.26 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.190 | $21.47 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.510 | $77.52 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.490 | $8.82 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.490 | $81.83 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 146 | $0.046 | $6.72 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.045 | $6.57 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 128 | $0.988 | $126.46 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 62 | $0.988 | $61.26 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 33.72 | $0.972 | $32.78 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 135 | $0.971 | $131.09 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Jun 2, 2026 |