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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 399.99 | $0.147 | $58.78 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.2K |
| $0.050 |
| $60 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.240 | $96 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.300 | $210 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.4K | $0.011 | $59.35 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.270 | $39.71 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.4K | $0.012 | $40.74 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.050 | $100 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.232 | $92.92 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 399.99 | $0.577 | $230.79 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | buy | 65.1 | $0.800 | $52.08 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | buy | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | buy | 89.29 | $0.820 | $73.22 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.994 | $497 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.992 | $198.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 249.04 | $0.993 | $247.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 206.52 | $0.995 | $205.49 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 918.14 | $0.995 | $913.55 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 249.04 | $0.972 | $242.07 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | sell | 54.23 | $0.999 | $54.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 58.3 | $0.999 | $58.24 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 278 | $0.880 | $244.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.030 | $0.15 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 348.44 | $0.020 | $6.97 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.73K | $0.020 | $54.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 204.6 | $0.020 | $4.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 968.81 | $0.030 | $29.06 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 58.3 | $0.994 | $57.95 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 54.23 | $0.995 | $53.96 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.38 | $0.130 | $0.96 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 206.35 | $0.732 | $151.05 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 186.88 | $0.911 | $170.25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 321.71 | $0.910 | $292.83 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?No | sell | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 61.19 | $0.910 | $55.68 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?No | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.290 | $6.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.430 | $604.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No | buy | 58 | $0.420 | $24.36 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | buy | 505.5 | $0.550 | $278.03 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No | buy | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | buy | 292.48 | $0.540 | $157.94 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 803.37 | $0.860 | $690.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.600 | $720 | Jun 11, 2026 |