Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 114.14 | $0.051 | $5.82 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 60 |
| $0.580 |
| $34.8 |
| Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?No | buy | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.480 | $43.2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 60 | $0.690 | $41.4 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 46.3 | $0.610 | $28.24 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.997 | $79.76 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 214.29 | $0.210 | $45 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 49.3 | $0.710 | $35 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 211.21 | $0.284 | $60 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 46.3 | $0.648 | $30 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 82.19 | $0.730 | $60 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?Yes | buy | 24.49 | $0.474 | $11.61 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42.21 | $0.711 | $30 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 190 | $0.999 | $189.81 | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 120 | $0.580 | $69.6 | May 16, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.884 | $70.69 | May 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.770 | $23.1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.320 | $12.8 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.211 | $2.53 | May 3, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.400 | $32 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 40 | $0.710 | $28.4 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?No | buy | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | May 2, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.680 | $54.4 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Meta reach $730 in April?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Meta reach $730 in April?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.690 | $17.25 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Amazon reach $276 in April?Yes | buy | 10.91 | $0.541 | $5.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.840 | $10.08 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.360 | $20.16 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.670 | $3.41 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 13.59 | $0.360 | $4.89 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 38.88 | $0.650 | $25.27 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Amazon reach $296 in April?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.176 | $10.56 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.830 | $31.54 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.910 | $54.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Amazon reach $276 in April?Yes | buy | 12.63 | $0.540 | $6.82 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 114.95 | $0.972 | $111.73 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | sell | 74.18 | $0.970 | $71.97 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of April?Yes | sell | 6.2 | $0.957 | $5.93 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 83.46 | $0.880 | $73.44 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 23.5 | $0.840 | $19.74 | Apr 23, 2026 |