Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes | buy | 94.47 | $0.529 | $50 | May 22, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 76.92 |
| $0.650 |
| $50 |
| May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | buy | 51.6 | $0.969 | $50 | May 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 360.44 | $0.600 | $216.26 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 78.23 | $0.626 | $49 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 143.99 | $0.681 | $98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 138.22 | $0.709 | $98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 612.5 | $0.008 | $4.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 326.73 | $0.651 | $212.7 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 326.73 | $0.300 | $98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 612.5 | $0.160 | $98 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 253.89 | $0.965 | $245 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 305.3 | $0.963 | $294 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 71.18 | $0.254 | $18.09 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | sell | 21.15 | $0.960 | $20.3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 21.15 | $0.944 | $19.97 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | sell | 21.17 | $0.962 | $20.37 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 71.18 | $0.820 | $58.37 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 21.17 | $0.923 | $19.54 | Feb 27, 2026 |