Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.49K | $0.693 | $1.07K | +$32.17 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over $7.5M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 22.93 | $0.420 | $9.63 | 5d ago |
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| buy |
| 1.45K |
| $0.689 |
| $1K |
| 14d ago |
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 31.5 | $0.317 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.27 | $0.173 | $5.57 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.270 | $10.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.003 | $0.75 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No | sell | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?No | sell | 60 | $0.687 | $41.19 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.550 | $82.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?No | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?No | sell | 44.87 | $0.370 | $16.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | sell | 19.14 | $0.510 | $9.76 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.443 | $44.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No | sell | 70 | $0.584 | $40.86 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.570 | $34.2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.008 | $0.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.060 | $2.4 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No | sell | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?No | sell | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?Yes | sell | 4.47 | $0.290 | $1.3 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.220 | $8.8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.560 | $1.12 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be at least $5.25B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 6.18 | $0.007 | $0.04 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.94 | $0.830 | $4.93 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 21.25 | $0.180 | $3.82 | May 31, 2026 |
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $8.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.143 | $14.32 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?No | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?No | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 101.16 | $0.250 | $25.29 | May 30, 2026 |
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 4.97 | $0.610 | $3.03 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?Yes | sell | 39.99 | $0.250 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | sell | 2.46 | $0.230 | $0.57 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 41.22 | $0.260 | $10.72 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.160 | $2.56 | May 30, 2026 |
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | sell | 37.54 | $0.200 | $7.51 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.160 | $2.86 | May 30, 2026 |