Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Aug 21, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 2.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $1 |
| Aug 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Aug 21, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 135.13 | $0.720 | $97.29 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.690 | $98.57 | Aug 20, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $120000 on August 15?No | buy | 938.95 | $0.852 | $800 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?No | sell | 1.9K | $0.581 | $1.11K | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $119K August 4–10?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K August 4–10?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120K August 4–10?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 106.1 | $0.942 | $100 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?No | buy | 917.45 | $0.981 | $900 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes | sell | 215.05 | $0.880 | $189.24 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Yes | buy | 208.87 | $0.958 | $200 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 203.47 | $0.983 | $200 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 201.01 | $0.995 | $200 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 201.01 | $0.995 | $200 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 111.86 | $0.894 | $100 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?No | buy | 986.41 | $0.912 | $900 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 103.52 | $0.966 | $100 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Yes | buy | 213.77 | $0.936 | $200 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $122K July 28–August 3?No | buy | 1.86K | $0.966 | $1.8K | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Yes | buy | 13.95 | $0.717 | $10 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 298.51 | $0.670 | $200 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | buy | 4.72K | $0.780 | $3.68K | Jul 24, 2025 |