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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 684.26 | $0.900 | $615.83 | May 15, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 684.27 |
| $0.890 |
| $609 |
| May 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 115.81 | $0.993 | $115 | May 11, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 236.36 | $0.940 | $222.18 | May 9, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 257.34 | $0.930 | $239.33 | May 9, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 239.34 | $0.920 | $220.19 | May 7, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 253.29 | $0.650 | $164.64 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | sell | 175.26 | $0.990 | $173.51 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 173.99 | $0.900 | $156.59 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | sell | 160.6 | $0.990 | $158.99 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 156.45 | $0.650 | $101.69 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 254.98 | $0.420 | $107.09 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 254.98 | $0.496 | $126.49 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 350.15 | $0.361 | $126.49 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 350.15 | $0.600 | $210.09 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 739.64 | $0.284 | $210.08 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 739.64 | $0.390 | $288.46 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 353.61 | $0.036 | $12.73 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?No | sell | 385.75 | $0.033 | $12.73 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 5.83K | $0.039 | $227.67 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?No | buy | 385.75 | $0.120 | $46.29 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 52.6 | $0.880 | $46.29 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 52.6 | $0.850 | $44.71 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?No | sell | 208.95 | $0.150 | $31.34 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?No | buy | 208.96 | $0.670 | $140 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.017 | $3 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 141.04 | $0.943 | $133 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 55.49 | $0.901 | $50 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.690 | $20.01 | Jul 14, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 60 | $0.320 | $19.2 | Jul 14, 2024 |
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.397 | $3.97 | Jul 14, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 60 | $0.320 | $19.2 | Jul 14, 2024 |