Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden EaglesTohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | buy | 4.58 | $0.480 | $2.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 61.89 |
| $0.023 |
| $0.31 |
| -$1.1 |
| buy |
| 6.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $2.6 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.075 | $0.38 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.38 | $0.490 | $3.62 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.09 | $0.999 | $7.08 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.110 | $0.41 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.210 | $0.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.012 | $0.24 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.710 | $0.92 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 15.78 | $0.064 | $1.01 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.45 | $0.750 | $1.09 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.600 | $1.01 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.635 | $1.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.720 | $3.12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes | sell | 7.83 | $0.700 | $5.48 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 9.16 | $0.630 | $5.77 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 13.35 | $0.231 | $3.08 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.840 | $1.08 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.43 | $0.292 | $2.17 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.093 | $2.51 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 8.46 | $0.233 | $1.97 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.390 | $5.85 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 0.84 | $0.640 | $0.54 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.49 | $0.823 | $6.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.988 | $1.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.790 | $1.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.958 | $1.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.910 | $1.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.988 | $1.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.988 | $1.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.217 | $1.09 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.840 | $1.08 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Yes | sell | 44.07 | $0.012 | $0.53 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.830 | $1.11 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.977 | $1.17 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.600 | $1.26 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.105 | $1.78 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.031 | $2.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.030 | $2.25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 23.45 | $0.100 | $2.35 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.6 | $0.750 | $2.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.584 | $2.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.38 | $0.550 | $4.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 17.47 | $0.234 | $4.09 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |