Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 120.48 | $0.830 | $111.27 | +$11.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.006 | $11 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 122.92 |
| $0.671 |
| $110.01 |
| +$27.47 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? | Yes | 354.2 | $0.282 | $29.75 | -$70.25 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 56.04 | $0.535 | $29.42 | -$0.58 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 107.14 | $0.280 | $25.77 | -$4.23 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.440 | $24.32 | +$4.32 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 116 | $0.220 | $16.82 | -$8.7 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 116.32 | $0.266 | $16.81 | -$14.19 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $14.09 | +$4.09 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 35.97 | $0.278 | $13.62 | +$3.62 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 14.12 | $0.708 | $11.98 | +$1.98 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.79 | $0.570 | $11.29 | +$2.29 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.17 | +$0.17 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $9.55 | -$0.45 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 17.54 | $0.570 | $8.16 | -$1.84 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.25K | $0.009 | $7.87 | -$13.12 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.390 | $6.03 | -$3.97 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $5.91 | -$4.09 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 309.47 | $0.019 | $5.88 | $0 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 138.52 | $0.072 | $5.19 | -$4.81 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 573.17 | $0.059 | $5.16 | -$28.73 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.660 | $5.08 | -$4.92 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.240 | $4.69 | -$5.31 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $3.39 | -$6.61 |
| sell |
| 11.62 |
| $0.930 |
| $10.81 |
| 6d ago |
 Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?Yes | buy | 257.89 | $0.039 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.38 | $0.234 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 35.97 | $0.278 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.570 | $9 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 25.25 | $0.396 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 39.68 | $0.252 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.800 | $11.42 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 49.75 | $0.201 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.12 | $0.708 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Yes | buy | 32.22 | $0.310 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
 Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes | buy | 258.37 | $0.039 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
 Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin YaoXinxin Yao | buy | 40.76 | $0.245 | $10 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in May?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?Yes | buy | 22.96 | $0.871 | $20 | May 7, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETUp | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.998 | $13.85 | May 6, 2026 |