Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 46.73 | $0.963 | $45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.900 |
| $15 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?Yes | buy | 91.84 | $0.980 | $90 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $140 in March?No | buy | 16.24 | $0.985 | $16 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No | buy | 16.18 | $0.989 | $16 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 17.89 | $0.950 | $17 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 10?Yes | buy | 12.24 | $0.980 | $12 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 10?Yes | buy | 8.59 | $0.990 | $8.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 9.64 | $0.996 | $9.6 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 68.86 | $0.973 | $67 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?Yes | buy | 14.15 | $0.141 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?Yes | buy | 9.34 | $0.964 | $9 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 26.89 | $0.967 | $26 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 23.34 | $0.985 | $23 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 34.42 | $0.988 | $34 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 25.85 | $0.967 | $25 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.975 | $15 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 37.26 | $0.993 | $37 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?No | buy | 13.35 | $0.974 | $13 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 36.08 | $0.970 | $35 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 68.11 | $0.969 | $66 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 25.23 | $0.991 | $25 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 12.32 | $0.974 | $12 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in May?No | buy | 15.09 | $0.994 | $15 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | May 17, 2025 |
 Macron cocaine use confirmed?No | buy | 16.1 | $0.994 | $16 | May 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.962 | $5 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $4000 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.988 | $19 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 27.08 | $0.960 | $26 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes | buy | 28.23 | $0.992 | $28 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.710 | $6 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Commanders vs. CowboysCommanders | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Saints vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Panthers vs. FalconsFalcons | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Canadiens vs. AvalancheAvalanche | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Bruins vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 76ers vs. Nets76ers | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Real Sociedad win La Liga?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.956 | $3 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 11.04 | $0.996 | $11 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%?Yes | buy | 9.16 | $0.983 | $9 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 8.24 | $0.971 | $8 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 12.63 | $0.950 | $12 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 17.11 | $0.993 | $17 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.47 | $0.850 | $0.4 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Solana above $210 on November 22?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.960 | $2.5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 |