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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.870 | $379.8 | +$31.85 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.310 | $400 | Apr 10, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.5K |
| $0.400 |
| $600 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 338.98 | $0.590 | $200 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No | sell | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 598.73 | $0.340 | $203.57 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.620 | $372 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | sell | 432 | $0.790 | $341.28 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.870 | $347.95 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | buy | 600 | $0.710 | $426 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.474 | $23.7 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 398.41 | $0.753 | $300 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 1.5K | $0.900 | $1.35K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.180 | $288 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.390 | $390 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.220 | $440 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.130 | $117 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 995.34 | $0.510 | $507.62 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionYes | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 289.86 | $0.690 | $200 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 289.3 | $0.657 | $190 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 245.06 | $0.694 | $170 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 288.58 | $0.728 | $210 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 300 | $0.969 | $290.7 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 127.24 | $0.820 | $104.34 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 73.61 | $0.720 | $53 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.530 | $63.6 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 132.01 | $0.909 | $120 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | sell | 500.97 | $0.900 | $450.87 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.951 | $399.42 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.951 | $285.3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.650 | $97.5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 139.99 | $0.959 | $134.25 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.970 | $291 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 430 | $0.240 | $103.2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.130 | $51.94 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 200 | $0.220 | $44 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 491.96 | $0.220 | $108.23 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.760 | $380 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?No | buy | 36 | $0.720 | $25.92 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in October?No | buy | 15.44 | $0.790 | $12.2 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.064 | $12.8 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo | buy | 2.03K | $0.032 | $65.11 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo | buy | 19.97K | $0.100 | $2K | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 12.54K | $0.080 | $1K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 4.85K | $0.206 | $1K | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.930 | $1K | Nov 6, 2024 |