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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.85K |
| $0.989 |
| $1.83K |
| Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.979 | $2.94K | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 223 | $0.978 | $218.09 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.979 | $1.96K | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.18K | $0.999 | $2.18K | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.01K | $0.999 | $5K | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.988 | $993 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.953 | $31.98 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3.3K | $0.970 | $3.2K | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.005 | $50 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?No | buy | 30 | $0.927 | $27.81 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 629.99 | $0.961 | $605.42 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?No | buy | 534.56 | $0.950 | $507.8 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.941 | $2.82K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.917 | $1.35K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?No | buy | 100 | $0.913 | $91.3 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.31K | $0.942 | $1.23K | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 112.5 | $0.160 | $18 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.7K | $0.740 | $2K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No | sell | 4.81K | $0.999 | $4.81K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 104.23 | $0.969 | $101 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.998 | $46.91 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.941 | $47.05 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.998 | $47.9 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.941 | $47.06 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No | buy | 4.81K | $0.979 | $4.71K | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.943 | $4.72K | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 361.29 | $0.930 | $336 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETDown | sell | 7.76 | $0.950 | $7.37 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETDown | buy | 7.66 | $0.636 | $4.87 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.27K | $0.949 | $5K | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No | sell | 5.01K | $0.999 | $5K | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No | buy | 5.01K | $0.999 | $5K | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.860 | $3.01K | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.998 | $1.18K | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.998 | $1.82K | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 1.84K | $0.228 | $417.88 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.246 | $492.68 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.247 | $246.78 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.245 | $245.4 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.250 | $125 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 68.73K | $0.001 | $68.73 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 800 | $0.669 | $535.2 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.669 | $1.67K | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 537.01 | $0.669 | $359.26 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.658 | $800 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 160 | $0.645 | $103.2 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 890 | $0.740 | $658.39 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 969.95 | $0.861 | $835.06 | Feb 12, 2026 |