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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10.32 | +$0.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.450 | $1.61 | 6d ago |
 |
| No |
| 95.24 |
| $0.210 |
| $10 |
| -$10 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 10.13 | $0.770 | $9.8 | +$2 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5.9 | $0.840 | $5.58 | +$0.62 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.88 | $0.410 | $4.44 | -$0.84 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 12.5 | $0.380 | $4.44 | -$0.31 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.57 | $0.540 | $4.16 | -$1.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.15 | $0.400 | $4.03 | +$0.77 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.14 | $0.570 | $4.03 | -$0.61 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.57 | $0.460 | $3.29 | -$0.19 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.200 | $1.81 | -$0.69 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.58 | $0.450 | $1.59 | -$0.02 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | Yes | 25.61 | $0.205 | $1.5 | -$3.75 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.84 | -$0.48 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 3.28 |
| $0.400 |
| $1.31 |
| 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.480 | $1.81 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.700 | $2.13 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.310 | $5.27 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.640 | $2.08 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.620 | $1.86 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.750 | $3.04 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 14.61 | $0.690 | $10.08 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 6 | $0.740 | $4.44 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 27.41 | $0.266 | $7.29 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in Georgia?No | buy | 14 | $0.330 | $4.62 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.370 | $11.47 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Bernie say "Percent" or "Percenter" 11+ times during Minneapolis Rally?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will "Biology" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.770 | $7.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 10.94 | $0.740 | $8.1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 13 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.600 | $4.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.670 | $5.27 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.820 | $5.25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 9?Up | buy | 11.16 | $0.700 | $7.81 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.319 | $3.68 | Jul 9, 2026 |