Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 160 | $0.292 | $16.8 | -$30 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 47.59 | $0.490 | $23.32 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 188 |
| $0.462 |
| $10.15 |
| -$76.74 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes| buy |
| 10.69 |
| $0.260 |
| $2.78 |
| Feb 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 640.26 | $0.070 | $44.82 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.290 | $34.8 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?No | buy | 20.5 | $0.953 | $19.54 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.118 | $11.8 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 197.36 | $0.070 | $13.82 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.221 | $15.47 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.433 | $25.09 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.337 | $10.11 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Half-Life 3 released in 2025?No | buy | 7.4 | $0.946 | $7 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 21.23 | $0.942 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 789.47 | $0.190 | $150 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Nov 25, 2025 |