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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 928.46 | $0.708 | $626.71 | -$30.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.130 | $182 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 500 |
| $0.494 |
| $262.5 |
| +$15.5 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 2.03K | $0.128 | $233.37 | -$26.73 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 200 | $0.597 | $104 | -$15.5 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | 510.99 | $0.330 | $28.1 | -$140.52 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.710 |
| $71 |
| 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.730 | $82.49 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 225.15 | $0.670 | $150.85 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.670 | $200.99 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.669 | $24.08 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.598 | $119.5 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 72.99 | $0.800 | $58.39 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 42.48 | $0.790 | $33.56 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.230 | $5.75 | 12d ago |
 Will anyone say "Marriage" during House of the Dragon E8 S3?No | buy | 20.99 | $0.940 | $19.73 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?Yes | buy | 76.05 | $0.420 | $31.94 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?Yes | buy | 105.29 | $0.280 | $29.48 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Death" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?No | buy | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Death" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?No | buy | 204.98 | $0.640 | $131.19 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Death" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?No | buy | 123.99 | $0.560 | $69.43 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Storm" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?Yes | buy | 283 | $0.360 | $101.88 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 175.4 | $0.950 | $166.63 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 65.74 | $0.946 | $62.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 168.83 | $0.920 | $155.32 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 58 | $0.300 | $17.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 55 | $0.295 | $16.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 300 | $0.307 | $92.18 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.950 | $24.05 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Yes | buy | 18.4 | $0.950 | $17.48 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Yes | buy | 18.4 | $0.950 | $17.48 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 600 | $0.763 | $457.89 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "God" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Kingdom" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.980 | $24.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Yes | buy | 23.33 | $0.942 | $21.99 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Conquest" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?No | buy | 16.84 | $0.950 | $16 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Prayer" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?No | buy | 174.25 | $0.720 | $125.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Death" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?No | buy | 85.98 | $0.831 | $71.48 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "War" 8+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?No | buy | 80 | $0.800 | $64 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Lesson" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Yes | buy | 23.39 | $0.940 | $21.99 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Kingdom" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Yes | buy | 67.02 | $0.865 | $58 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?No | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Grace" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?No | buy | 92.45 | $0.980 | $90.6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Yes | buy | 167.89 | $0.951 | $159.66 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Kingdom" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Yes | buy | 67.43 | $0.860 | $57.99 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Death" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?No | buy | 200 | $0.668 | $133.65 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Raven" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.490 | $4.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "King" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E5 S3?Yes | buy | 11.69 | $0.940 | $10.99 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Marriage" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?No | buy | 18.4 | $0.950 | $17.48 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "King" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E5 S3?Yes | buy | 9.2 | $0.950 | $8.74 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Marriage" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?No | buy | 18.4 | $0.950 | $17.48 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Wine" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?No | buy | 23.39 | $0.940 | $21.99 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E5 S3?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Jul 20, 2026 |