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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5.83 | +$0.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | 8d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 773 |
| $0.010 |
| $4.25 |
| -$3.48 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.33 | $0.752 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4.65 | $0.215 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.89 | $0.528 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.880 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 773 |
| $0.010 |
| $7.73 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown | sell | 7.24 | $0.990 | $7.17 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.104 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.126 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.528 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.885 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.215 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.752 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |