Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 630.75 | $0.002 | $1.26 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 431.8 |
| $0.004 |
| $1.73 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | sell | 6.89 | $0.300 | $2.07 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by July 31?Yes | sell | 26.97 | $0.088 | $2.37 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Yes | sell | 143.53 | $0.020 | $2.87 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 7.3 | $0.420 | $3.07 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes | sell | 48.09 | $0.150 | $7.21 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 947.75 | $0.008 | $7.58 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 14.94 | $0.550 | $8.22 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes | sell | 15.54 | $0.550 | $8.55 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 36.66 | $0.240 | $8.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 178 | $0.046 | $8.14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.537 | $10.13 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.38 | $0.770 | $9.53 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Yes | sell | 53.92 | $0.222 | $11.96 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 54.91 | $0.020 | $1.08 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 14.19 | $0.930 | $13.2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 25.89 | $0.540 | $13.98 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 46.13 | $0.336 | $15.52 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 25.52 | $0.730 | $18.63 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 318.23 | $0.053 | $16.94 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?No | sell | 21.71 | $0.910 | $19.76 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | sell | 39.03 | $0.560 | $21.85 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 28.87 | $0.783 | $22.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | sell | 47.62 | $0.560 | $26.67 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?Yes | sell | 30.77 | $0.999 | $30.74 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 876.41 | $0.022 | $19.28 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 65.83 | $0.600 | $39.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 332.7 | $0.150 | $49.9 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 305.81 | $0.161 | $49.33 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 260.42 | $0.230 | $59.9 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 86.21 | $0.880 | $75.86 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 428.32 | $0.210 | $89.95 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 254.16 | $0.368 | $93.55 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No | sell | 286.44 | $0.401 | $114.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?No | sell | 268.7 | $0.441 | $118.38 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 511.82 | $0.270 | $138.19 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | sell | 154.41 | $0.931 | $143.68 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 273.48 | $0.560 | $153.15 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 400.81 | $0.372 | $149.3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?No | sell | 179.49 | $0.861 | $154.61 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.56K | $0.100 | $155.67 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 244.68 | $0.813 | $198.98 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.35K | $0.150 | $202.95 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.79K | $0.113 | $202.1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 490.65 | $0.520 | $255.14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 577.07 | $0.520 | $300.08 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 461.69 | $0.682 | $314.85 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | sell | 517.8 | $0.610 | $315.86 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.9K | $0.154 | $445.82 | Jul 12, 2026 |