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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | sell | 238.35 | $0.110 | $26.22 | Sep 30, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 151.2 |
| $0.150 |
| $22.68 |
| Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 87.15 | $0.130 | $11.33 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?Yes | sell | 369.11 | $0.002 | $0.74 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 3.3K | $0.001 | $3.3 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.600 | $1.11 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?No | sell | 1.45 | $0.610 | $0.88 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?Yes | sell | 31.8 | $0.018 | $0.57 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.008 | $0.23 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.130 | $0.43 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.730 | $0.33 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.470 | $0.47 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.706 | $0.71 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.410 | $0.98 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | sell | 3.14 | $0.310 | $0.97 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.500 | $1.19 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.46 | $0.249 | $1.11 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?No | sell | 2.57 | $0.540 | $1.39 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 14.25 | $0.260 | $3.71 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in September?Yes | sell | 2.62 | $0.080 | $0.21 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Yoon out of custody in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.080 | $0.14 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 1.76 | $0.080 | $0.14 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.840 | $0.12 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.027 | $0.09 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 1.84 | $0.030 | $0.06 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.220 | $0.05 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.920 | $0.15 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.010 | $0.09 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.740 | $0.07 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30.21 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.550 | $1.41 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.080 | $0.48 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.450 | $0.94 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Bolsonaro guilty?No | sell | 6.11 | $0.110 | $0.67 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.550 | $0.82 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Ukraine election called in 2025?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.840 | $0.97 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.770 | $0.08 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.680 | $0.11 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.900 | $0.23 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.700 | $0.24 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.740 | $0.25 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Obama endorse Mamdani?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.760 | $0.33 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.46 | $0.043 | $0.54 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.110 | $0.56 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.410 | $0.68 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.060 | $0.67 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.280 | $0.9 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.290 | $0.83 | Sep 7, 2025 |