Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 53m ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.85 | $0.710 | $8.96 | +$1.97 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.570 | $4.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 23.11 |
| $0.300 |
| $6.82 |
| -$0.12 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.770 | $6.59 | -$0.41 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.5 | $0.460 | $6.44 | +$0.69 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 13.72 | $0.510 | $6.11 | -$0.89 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 11.21 | $0.530 | $5.1 | -$0.84 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.3 | $0.400 | $5 | +$0.88 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 11.45 | $0.400 | $4.35 | -$0.23 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.14 | $0.570 | $3.95 | -$0.69 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.65 | $0.500 | $1.86 | -$3.96 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.200 | $1.16 | -$0.09 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 6.25 | $0.210 | $1.16 | -$0.16 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.200 | $0.84 | -$0.41 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.210 |
| $1.26 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.21 | $0.530 | $5.94 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.290 | $2.32 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.200 | $1.25 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.600 | $6.71 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.600 | $6.71 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.217 | $1.87 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 6.54 | $0.755 | $4.94 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | buy | 8 | $0.210 | $1.68 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.16 | $0.226 | $2.07 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | May 28, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?Down | buy | 7 | $0.370 | $2.59 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.460 | $5.75 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.220 | $1.87 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.400 | $4.12 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.290 | $2.32 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.200 | $1.25 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.250 | $1.77 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.270 | $3.24 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 11.45 | $0.400 | $4.58 | May 10, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.210 | $1.31 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.500 | $5.59 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.65 | $0.500 | $5.83 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.240 | $2.18 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.680 | $6.82 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.24 | $0.320 | $2.32 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.270 | $1.82 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.47 | $0.640 | $7.34 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 13.46 | $0.330 | $4.44 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of April 20 2026?Yes | buy | 12.94 | $0.520 | $6.73 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.85 | $0.710 | $6.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.21 | $0.250 | $2.3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 20?Up | buy | 9.3 | $0.300 | $2.79 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.420 | $3.56 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 10?Down | buy | 12.65 | $0.480 | $6.07 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 11.75 | $0.570 | $6.7 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.07 | $0.360 | $3.63 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 7.43 | $0.790 | $5.87 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.480 | $4.41 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.800 | $7 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?Yes | buy | 13.31 | $0.498 | $6.63 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.790 | $4.89 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |