Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 544.64 | $0.997 | $543.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 505.64 |
| $0.999 |
| $505.14 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 547.9 | $0.999 | $547.35 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 535.77 | $0.999 | $535.24 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 547.89 | $0.996 | $545.55 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 50.81 | $0.999 | $50.76 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No | buy | 476.27 | $0.999 | $475.79 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 17.14 | $0.999 | $17.12 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 385.76 | $0.998 | $384.99 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 17.81 | $0.997 | $17.76 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 51.87 | $0.999 | $51.82 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 64.27 | $0.995 | $63.95 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 197.9 | $0.998 | $197.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 149.38 | $0.999 | $149.23 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 67.48 | $0.995 | $67.14 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 238.63 | $0.997 | $237.91 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 96.89 | $0.996 | $96.5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 350.83 | $0.999 | $350.48 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 188.6 | $0.995 | $187.63 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No | buy | 40.37 | $0.999 | $40.33 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 314.59 | $0.999 | $314.28 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No | buy | 180.48 | $0.998 | $180.12 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 391.4 | $0.999 | $391.01 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 216.94 | $0.999 | $216.72 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No | buy | 459.93 | $0.996 | $458.09 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | buy | 138.49 | $0.999 | $138.35 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 285.9 | $0.993 | $283.9 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 201.78 | $0.999 | $201.58 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.41 | $0.958 | $42.54 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 76.25 | $0.048 | $3.66 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 29.37 | $0.997 | $29.28 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 347.06 | $0.994 | $344.84 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 196.86 | $0.986 | $194.18 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 61.18 | $0.950 | $58.12 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 77.03 | $0.998 | $76.88 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 415.35 | $0.340 | $141.22 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.4 | $0.982 | $109.39 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.058 | $4 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 210.83 | $0.978 | $206.19 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 13.43 | $0.600 | $8.06 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 137.7 | $0.993 | $136.74 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 55.94 | $0.964 | $53.93 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 285.9 | $0.770 | $220.14 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 285.91 | $0.750 | $214.43 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 226.94 | $0.993 | $225.35 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 270.79 | $0.997 | $269.98 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 270.79 | $0.998 | $270.25 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 245.84 | $0.985 | $242.15 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 218.67 | $0.997 | $218.01 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 218.67 | $0.998 | $218.23 | Jun 13, 2025 |