Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 158.87 | $0.728 | $134.25 | +$18.6 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp | buy | 16.55 | $0.760 | $12.58 | Jul 30, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 25.23 |
| $0.924 |
| $24.66 |
| +$1.34 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 17.56 | $0.925 | $17.27 | +$1.02 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 15.66 | $0.950 | $15.4 | +$0.52 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 14.8 | $0.845 | $14.55 | +$2.04 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 9.81 | $0.790 | $8.09 | +$0.34 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | 4.26 | $0.979 | $4.18 | +$0.01 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 47.03 | $0.122 | $3.41 | -$2.35 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | No | 3.39 | $0.838 | $3.03 | +$0.19 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 9.47 | $0.190 | $1.66 | -$0.14 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 2 | $0.770 | $1.59 | +$0.05 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 20.33 | $0.186 | $1.32 | -$2.46 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 1.04 | $0.729 | $1.02 | +$0.26 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 6.54 | $0.271 | $0.98 | -$0.79 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 11.4 | $0.160 | $0.97 | -$0.85 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 6.88 | $0.291 | $0.72 | -$1.28 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 3 | $0.770 | $0.68 | -$1.64 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 0.53 | $0.907 | $0.52 | +$0.03 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | Yes | 0.49 | $0.658 | $0.09 | -$0.23 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 0.63 | $0.604 | $0.09 | -$0.29 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 0.88 | $0.460 | $0.09 | -$0.32 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.764 |
| $19.1 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.820 | $20.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp | buy | 24.47 | $0.740 | $18.11 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown | buy | 14.16 | $0.900 | $12.74 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.830 | $20.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown | buy | 1.72 | $0.950 | $1.63 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.880 | $22 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.91 | $0.930 | $5.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 15.32 | $0.920 | $14.09 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp | buy | 8.24 | $0.910 | $7.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETDown | buy | 20.42 | $0.820 | $16.74 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.710 | $17.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.780 | $19.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.770 | $19.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.73 | $0.950 | $4.49 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.950 | $23.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown | buy | 18.67 | $0.830 | $15.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETDown | buy | 15.24 | $0.820 | $12.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.820 | $20.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.830 | $20.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.590 | $14.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.750 | $18.75 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETUp | buy | 7.63 | $0.950 | $7.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.91 | $0.930 | $5.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.923 | $23.08 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.896 | $22.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 8.8 | $0.870 | $7.66 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.880 | $22 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |