Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 590.32 | $0.236 | $27.15 | -$112.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.64 | $0.500 | $58.32 | Jan 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 115.22 |
| $0.434 |
| $8.64 |
| -$41.36 |
| buy |
| 52.63 |
| $0.380 |
| $20 |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.250 | $17.25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 312.69 | $0.130 | $40.65 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 891.91 | $0.011 | $9.81 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 128.74 | $0.280 | $36 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 53.85 | $0.520 | $28 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.34 | $0.634 | $30 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.420 | $40 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.58 | $0.523 | $50 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.320 | $25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 531.91 | $0.047 | $25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.210 | $18 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 65.54 | $0.275 | $18 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.63 | $0.520 | $5.01 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.050 | $18 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.320 | $15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 132.82 | $0.380 | $50.47 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 44.27 | $0.380 | $16.82 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 549 | $0.059 | $32.54 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.460 | $16.1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.55 | $0.450 | $16.45 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 78.41 | $0.440 | $34.5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 108.11 | $0.370 | $40 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.300 | $33 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 559.29 | $0.054 | $30 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.03 | $0.310 | $40 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 157.89 | $0.190 | $30 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 65.57 | $0.610 | $40 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 67.41 | $0.267 | $18 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.92 | $0.260 | $2.58 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.21 | $0.290 | $10.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |