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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 116.03 | $0.801 | $101.52 | +$8.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.930 | $7.5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 30.05 |
| $0.715 |
| $27.8 |
| +$6.3 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 8.06 | $0.930 | $7.62 | +$0.12 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.84 | $0.370 | $5.47 | -$8.53 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.028 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.016 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 35.71 |
| $0.028 |
| $1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 19.74 | $0.760 | $15 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.820 | $60 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 95.14 | $0.967 | $92 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 84.39 | $0.995 | $83.97 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 52.77 | $0.967 | $51 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 50.53 | $0.993 | $50.17 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.87 | $0.852 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 58.06 | $0.930 | $54 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 60 | $0.997 | $59.82 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 50.54 | $0.930 | $47 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 60 | $0.750 | $45 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?No | buy | 43.93 | $0.972 | $42.7 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?No | sell | 47.87 | $0.996 | $47.68 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 34.66 | $0.958 | $33.2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 84.39 | $0.948 | $80 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.87 | $0.830 | $14 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 28.41 | $0.880 | $25 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.630 | $6.5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.770 | $33 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 37.84 | $0.370 | $14 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 31.75 | $0.610 | $19.37 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 96.39 | $0.830 | $80 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | buy | 11.31 | $0.911 | $10.3 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Skye Valadez confirmed perp?No | sell | 10.5 | $0.988 | $10.37 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 18.39 | $0.930 | $17.1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 29.26 | $0.092 | $2.69 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 32.75 | $0.855 | $28 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 92.4 | $0.855 | $79 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 13.41 | $0.540 | $7.24 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?No | buy | 47.87 | $0.940 | $45 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.980 | $5.9 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 9.37 | $0.854 | $8 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 19.43 | $0.370 | $7.19 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 36.46 | $0.960 | $35 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 76ers vs. WizardsWizards | buy | 14.47 | $0.380 | $5.5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Hornets vs. HeatHornets | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 California redistricting referendum passes?Yes | sell | 4.31 | $0.957 | $4.12 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 13.41 | $0.410 | $5.5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| California redistricting referendum passes?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Thunder vs. MavericksThunder | buy | 5.33 | $0.750 | $4 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Hawks vs. BullsHawks | buy | 12.5 | $0.560 | $7 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesNuggets | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 31 | $0.147 | $4.56 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Pacers vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Hornets vs. 76ersHornets | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |