Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 2.63K | $0.420 | $2.23K | +$1.12K |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 1.78K | $0.670 | $1.2K | 17d ago |
 |
| No |
| 750 |
| $0.870 |
| $693.75 |
| +$41.25 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 500 | $0.480 | $442.5 | +$202.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? | Yes | 294.6 | $0.910 | $269.56 | +$1.47 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | Yes | 612.2 | $0.490 | $217.33 | -$82.52 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | Yes | 265.62 | $0.760 | $195.23 | -$6.64 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat? | No | 192.43 | $0.910 | $175.69 | +$0.58 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? | Yes | 48.69 | $0.620 | $30.92 | +$0.73 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? | Yes | 108.44 | $0.170 | $27.65 | +$9.22 |
 Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 18.93 | $0.890 | $18.52 | +$1.68 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? | No | 102.86 | $0.140 | $7.71 | -$6.69 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? | No | 83.53 | $0.090 | $6.26 | -$1.25 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | No | 39.62 | $0.220 | $5.35 | -$3.37 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? | No | 5 | $0.330 | $1.63 | -$0.03 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 0.98 | $0.680 | $0.84 | +$0.18 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat? | Yes | 5 | $0.130 | $0.38 | -$0.28 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.540 |
| $108 |
| 19d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.590 | $236 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.540 | $432 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.470 | $94 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 418 | $0.540 | $225.72 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 297.43 | $0.999 | $297.13 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 2.83K | $0.998 | $2.83K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.090 | $107.26 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 250 | $0.870 | $217.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.910 | $364 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 399.99 | $0.985 | $394.14 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.700 | $350 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.86K | $0.700 | $1.3K | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.979 | $489.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 300 | $0.700 | $210 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.520 | $519.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 498.84 | $0.537 | $267.89 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 605 | $0.035 | $20.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 83.85 | $0.338 | $28.34 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 481.42 | $0.381 | $183.42 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 653.2 | $0.383 | $250.18 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.650 | $260 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.045 | $9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 98.84 | $0.610 | $60.29 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 884.92 | $0.359 | $318 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 180.25 | $0.560 | $100.94 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | sell | 836 | $0.011 | $8.93 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 81.17 | $0.250 | $20.29 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | sell | 799.95 | $0.060 | $48 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.070 | $73.17 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 836 | $0.520 | $434.72 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 75.31 | $0.230 | $17.32 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 280.35 | $0.052 | $14.67 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 525.98 | $0.170 | $89.42 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 110 | $0.570 | $62.7 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 110 | $0.550 | $60.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 170.8 | $0.539 | $92.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 295.5 | $0.360 | $106.38 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.370 | $41.81 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.350 | $200 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 57.3 | $0.980 | $56.15 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.970 | $970 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 71.17 | $0.900 | $64.05 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 59.48 | $0.980 | $58.29 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 800 | $0.810 | $648 | Jul 19, 2026 |