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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 9.52 |
| $0.420 |
| $4 |
| Sep 6, 2025 |
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 4.44 | $0.270 | $1.2 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.190 | $0.33 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.960 | $2.55 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ETUp | buy | 8.16 | $0.490 | $4 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ETDown | sell | 3.75 | $0.999 | $3.75 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $114K on August 25?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.110 | $0.41 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?Up | sell | 3.44 | $0.070 | $0.24 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ETDown | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?Down | sell | 2.73 | $0.900 | $2.46 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down on August 25?Up | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.110 | $6 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Aug 25, 2025 |
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.98 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.984 | $0.99 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.981 | $0.99 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.980 | $0.99 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Fed abolished in 2025?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.974 | $4.99 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.984 | $0.99 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?Down | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?Up | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $120K on August 25?No | sell | 3.16 | $0.979 | $3.09 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $120K on August 25?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.948 | $3 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $114K on August 25?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Fed abolished in 2025?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |